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Institution: It is expected that the PC market in China will resume growth in the second half of 2025. IDC, an international data company, issued a document saying that the overall PC market in China is expected to improve in 2025, and the shipment volume will drop slightly by 0.2% compared with that in 2024. Among them, the first half of 2025 will be affected by the early release of demand at the end of 2024, and the expected shipment volume is still negative, down 4.2% year-on-year; In the second half of 2025, it will improve as a whole, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.0%.China, Shimao Group, Sunac China, Longhu Group, R&F Property, Longguang Group, China Jinmao, Greentown China, Vanke, China Overseas Development, Ocean Shipping Group, Agile, Yuexiu Property and Xincheng Development all fell by over 9%, 6% and 5% respectively.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.

District 9 of Beijing issued a gale warning. At present, Huairou, Yanqing, Changping, Haidian, Mentougou, Fangshan, Chaoyang, Pinggu and Shijingshan have issued a blue gale warning signal. Today, the wind-cold effect is obvious, and the body feels cold. We should pay attention to wind and cold protection, and stay away from temporary structures such as billboards and tall trees, and do a good job in outdoor aerial work.Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement case was a foregone conclusion at the end of 8 years, and the infringer paid a maximum of 20 million yuan. Ralph Lauren's trademark infringement dispute case, which lasted for nearly 8 years, finally came to a foregone conclusion. Shanghai Intellectual Property Court recently made a first-instance civil judgment on a series of trademark infringement cases in which Polo/Lauren Co., Ltd., Ralph Lauren Asia Pacific Co., Ltd. and Ralph Lauren Trading (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. jointly sued Shanghai Ruifa Clothing Co., Ltd., Qingyuan Huahao Zhibai Leather Clothing Products Co., Ltd., Guangzhou Huahao Industry Co., Ltd. and luoding city Yasi Clothing Co., Ltd. The court ruled that the defendant's use of "Polo", "Polo Sport", "Polo Gear" and "polo sport" constituted trademark infringement, and must immediately stop all infringement activities, including the use of similar trademarks and the sale of goods with similar trademarks, and pay a total of 20 million yuan in compensation. Compared with the previous administrative judgment that the infringing trademark is invalid, the significance of this civil judgment is that it has mandatory force to require the shops and other channels suspected of infringement to stop operating, and the total compensation of 20 million yuan is far higher than the legal compensation amount of 5 million yuan stipulated in the trademark law, which is one of the cases that have obtained the highest compensation in China's trademark infringement cases. (Interface News)Zhaochi Co., Ltd. invested in the business of optical communication equipment in the newly established technology company. According to the enterprise investigation APP, recently, Shanghai Jiashibai Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Gu Wei and the registered capital of 20 million yuan. Its business scope includes: optical communication equipment manufacturing; Sales of optical communication equipment; Manufacturing of digital video monitoring system; Digital video monitoring system sales, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Shenzhen Zhaochi Digital Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Zhaochi Co., Ltd.

Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Bai Zhongen: Under special circumstances, short-term breakthrough in deficit and debt may help solve long-term problems. Bai Zhongen, president of Tsinghua University Institute of Economics and Management and vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce, said that in the understanding and implementation of policies, there are sometimes some stereotypes, which make us bound by these stereotypes. Breaking these constraints is very important for our policy understanding and policy implementation. The first mindset is that it will bring moral hazard if the central government helps local governments pay their debts. The second mindset, in the past, some people insisted that the deficit should not exceed a certain proportion and the debt should not exceed a certain proportion. He bluntly said that the upper limit of debt and deficit also depends on short-term and long-term. In the long run, we can't have too many deficits and too many debts. Therefore, when we encounter special circumstances in the short term, we should allow the deficit and debt to exceed a certain ratio.Want Want Group solemnly declared that on December 13th, @ Wangzai Club issued a solemn statement: Recently, someone pretended to be Want Want to publish false activities, so everyone must be vigilant!